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Inflation unexpectedly steady as food price rises slow

Higher petrol prices were offset by slower price rises for meat, dairy and vegetables, according to the ONS.​Higher petrol prices were offset by slower price rises for meat, dairy and vegetables, according to the ONS. 

Inflation remains at 2.8%, slightly lower than expected

Getty Images A woman working in a small grocery shop stacking shelvesGetty Images

Inflation remained at 2.8% in the year to May according to new figures.

Inflation had slowed to its lowest level for more than a year in April because of a decline in household energy prices for the month.

Over the year to May, transport costs rose by the fastest rate, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said, while the rate of price increases in food and non-alcoholic beverages slowed.

Inflation— the rate at which the cost of goods and services is rising — is widely expected to keep steadily increasing over the coming months due to the ongoing impact of the Iran war.

Many economists have predicted that it would peak at between 3.5% and 4% in the second half of 2026, as the effects of the conflict in the Middle East filter down to household costs.

It comes ahead of the Bank of England’s next interest rate decision on Thursday. Economists widely expect the Bank to hold the core interest rate at its current level of 3.75%.

Line chart of the UK's Consumer Price Index annual inflation rate, 
from January 2020 onwards In the year to January 2020, inflation was 1.8%. 
It then fell close to 0% in late-2020 before rising sharply, 
hitting a high of 11.1% in October 2022. It then fell to a low of 1.7% 
in September 2024 before rising again. In the year to May 2026, 
prices rose by 2.8%, unchanged compared with the 12 months to April 2026.

 

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